MT5 Confirms the 7,468.30 Close
The original review was directionally right but data-light. Direct MT5 candles show that SP500 opened at 7,493.99, traded up to 7,514.68, sold off to 7,420.35, and closed at 7,468.30. That confirms the hawkish-minutes branch as the correct session outcome, but it also shows two details the fallback review blurred: the first downside target was broken intraday, and the market recovered nearly 48 points off the low before the close.
01SP500 closed at 7,468.30 after a hawkish FOMC-minutes day, confirming the downside branch the preparation had mapped
02The intraday low at 7,420.35 shows the selloff extended beyond the fallback review's estimated damage zone before recovering
03The market reclaimed nearly 48 points from the low into the close, keeping the session bearish but not disorderly
The daily close keeps the hawkish interpretation in place, but the rebound from 7,420.35 matters. The next preparation should treat 7,420-7,450 as a proven intraday demand pocket, while 7,500-7,515 becomes the first overhead zone that must be reclaimed before any relief scenario is taken seriously.
Every call in this review is checked against the session data captured in Cortiq — the AI trading workspace that powers our daily preparation, review, and calibration loop.
MT5 confirms the broad shape of the original writeup while correcting the parts that were previously estimated. SP500 opened at 7,493.99, printed a 7,514.68 high, dropped to 7,420.35, and closed at 7,468.30. That leaves a negative day overall, consistent with a hawkish read on the minutes, but the close also came well off the session low.
Session: FOMC Minutes Day — SP500
Symbol: SP500
Window: 14:30–21:00 UTC (US cash session)
Open: 7,493.99
High: 7,514.68
Low: 7,420.35
Close: 7,468.30
Regime: Hawkish-minutes downside day with partial recovery into the close
Preparation: Accurate
Surprises: Low
The daily candle aligns with the hawkish scenario, not the balanced one. The session sold off hard enough to reach 7,420.35, which means the fallback review was too conservative in saying the first downside target was only approached. It was exceeded intraday.
At the same time, the close at 7,468.30 shows the session was not a straight-line collapse. Buyers recovered nearly 48 points from the low into the close, leaving the index below the open but above the worst part of the washout.
| Pre-session view | What actually happened | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Hawkish minutes would push the index lower | The session closed below the open at 7,468.30 | Correct |
| 7,450 was the first downside target | The market traded through it and printed 7,420.35 | Correct, and stronger than estimated in the fallback review |
| 7,420 sat below the first damage zone as a deeper extension | The intraday low reached 7,420.35 almost exactly | Correct |
| Balanced minutes could re-open the upside branch | That recovery branch never became the closing outcome | Did not fire |
Overall, the preparation was accurate. The legacy content issue here was not the branch selection, but the lack of direct candle access and the resulting reliance on estimated closing data.