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Learning library

Plain explanations of how markets behave and practical routines for preparing and reviewing a session. Each guide explains one concept or process and points to the research behind it.

Looking for evidence?The research library tests trading ideas against historical dataOpen Research →

Showing all 27 guides

Reading time · Updated
  1. Market structureAbove an Old High: What the Break and Failed Recovery Tell YouUnderstand buy stops above highs, the difference between stop orders and available liquidity, and what a failed recovery adds after a breakout loses ground.3 min read
  2. Market structureDouble Top: Why the Second High Is Not the Sell SignalRead the support between two highs, the completed breakdown and the failed recovery before judging a double-top short and its remaining room.3 min read
  3. Market structureICT Silver Bullet: Direction and Room Before the Morning GapUnderstand this 10-11 a.m. New York Silver Bullet example: higher-timeframe direction, an untouched destination, displacement, gap return and remaining room.3 min read
  4. MacroPullback or Reversal? Watch the Low Behind the AdvanceUse the higher low behind an advance to compare a defended pullback with failed support, without treating every red candle or broken low as an entry.3 min read
  5. MacroRetest Stops: Which Buying Idea Does the Stop Protect?Compare a stop below the whole retest with a deeper recovery-base stop, and see why a better displayed ratio does not establish a better strategy.3 min read
  6. MacroSupport Levels: Watch the Response, Not the LineUnderstand why earlier buying makes a support zone worth watching, what a completed recovery adds, and why repeated touches never guarantee another bounce.3 min read
  7. Market structureTrending or Just Bouncing? Read What the Recovery OvercomesCompare a bounce beneath an earlier rally high with a break and held retest, using the same constructed example as the follow-up Buy, Sell or Wait quiz.3 min read
  8. MacroWhen to Move a Stop: Entry Price or New Structure?Compare moving a stop to entry with waiting for a completed higher low, including the risk each choice retains and why one illustrated win proves little.3 min read
  9. Market structureAscending Triangle: Why Wait for the Breakout Retest?Understand the buying and selling behind an ascending triangle, why a stopped-out short is not a buy signal, and what a retest can tell you.4 min read
  10. Market structureBearish BOS: Why the Break and the Entry Are Different DecisionsUnderstand why sellers may return after a bearish break of structure, what a failed bounce can tell you, and why chasing the first drop changes the risk.4 min read
  11. Market structureBearish Breaker: How a Buy Zone Can Become a Sell ZoneUnderstand why a failed bullish order block can meet selling on a return, how trapped buyers may respond, and what would weaken a bearish breaker idea.4 min read
  12. Market structureBullish Pullbacks: Understanding BOS, MSS and the FVG RetestUnderstand why a rising market can pull back, what renewed buying would look like, and how BOS, MSS and an FVG describe different parts of that decision.4 min read
  13. Market structureFailed Breakouts and Liquidity Sweeps: Why Wait Before Selling?Learn why price crossing a high does not settle direction, how a failed breakout can change buying and selling interest, and what weakens a short idea.4 min read
  14. Market structureInverse Fair Value Gap: What Changes When Support Fails?Learn the idea behind a bearish inverse FVG in simple words: buying fails to hold a gap, the area may meet selling, and the response still needs testing.4 min read
  15. Market structureInverted Head and Shoulders: Why the Right Shoulder Is Not EnoughLearn what a higher right shoulder may say about selling, why the neckline still matters, and how the retest separates a reversal idea from an entry.4 min read
  16. Market structureOrder Blocks: Why a Buying Area Still Needs ContextLearn why an order block is a buying or selling idea to test, how the larger trend affects it, and why touching the zone does not establish an entry.4 min read
  17. Market structurePrice Action Trading: Understand Where the Candle FormsLearn why the same bullish candle can mean different things at different locations, and how structure, a price response and a failure point shape a decision.4 min read
  18. IntermarketGold vs Dollar: The Correlation Retail Traders Need to KnowWhy gold and the dollar usually move opposite each other, when that relationship breaks down, and why real yields matter more than DXY alone.8 min read
  19. Market structureLiquidity Sweep Trading: How Stop Hunts Set Up ReversalsWhat a liquidity sweep actually is, why the "stop hunt reversal" narrative is mostly wrong, and what 4,986 EURUSD sweeps say about trading them.8 min read
  20. PsychologyTrading Psychology: How to Stop Revenge TradingRevenge trading explained: why a loss triggers the next bad trade, the mechanism behind it, and the concrete rules that actually stop the cycle.9 min read
  21. Market structureWhat Is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) in Forex Trading?What a fair value gap actually is, why it forms, how traders use it as an entry zone, and what the data says about trading a gap in isolation.8 min read
  22. Session prepA Session Preparation Framework for Forex TradersA repeatable framework for preparing a forex trading session: classify the regime, map levels, and write a counter-thesis so you don't trade one-sided.11 min read
  23. MacroFree Trading Newsletter: What to Look For (and What to Avoid)How to judge a free trading newsletter before you subscribe: the transparency tests that separate genuine market analysis from disguised signal-selling.8 min read
  24. JournalingHow to Build a Daily Trading Journal (With Examples)Build a trading journal that actually improves your trading: what to log per trade, how to grade decisions vs outcomes, and how to turn notes into rules.12 min read
  25. MacroNFP Friday EURUSD: How to Read and PrepareHow to prepare EURUSD for US Non-Farm Payrolls: the blackout window, why not to fade the first spike, and the confirmation that turns a loss into a winner.10 min read
  26. Session prepHow to Prepare for a EURUSD Trading SessionA step-by-step guide to preparing for a EURUSD trading session using macro context, sentiment analysis, key levels, and technical structure.9 min read
  27. MacroWhat Moves EUR/USD: The Macro Drivers ExplainedThe key macro forces that drive EUR/USD: Fed vs ECB divergence, DXY, risk sentiment, and high-impact data. A practical framework for retail traders.10 min read

Evidence behind the guides

Study · Cross-market · regimeDoes Buying the S&P When Fear Spikes Actually Work? 13 Years Say YesElevated fear is a scale-up-long regime, not a reason to sell. Sorting 13 years of sessions by realized volatility, the calmest fifth returned +0.32% over the next 20 days while the most panicked fifth returned +2.06% at a 72% win rate — roughly 6× the forward return. Confirmed against real VIX: calm (~12) → +0.55%, panic (~28) → +2.41%. It is a sizing overlay with fat left tails, not a standalone entry.Study · EUR/USD · breakoutDo EURUSD Breakouts Actually Follow Through? 344 Events, 16 YearsA EURUSD breakout is only a coin-flip-plus until you condition on displacement. Breaks that push less than ~3 pips past the level fake out 60% of the time; breaks that displace hard follow through 90%+ of the time. The candle's conviction, not the level itself, is the signal.

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